So a deal has been done and as I write Westminster is
debating it, in an extraordinary Saturday sitting of the House of Commons. If
Boris wins the vote, then the UK will
leave at Halloween.
A date that is quite appropriate as the English always like
to have a someone to blame. Now this may be just human nature but the British
do it rather well.
UKIP and the Brexit Party encouraged people to blame the
countries ills on immigrants taking their jobs. They also pointed to as many
crazy EU rules like straight bananas, as they could find, to persuade people to
vote leave.
Now it looks like Britain will leave, but Number 10 had been
gearing up the blame game, if they had to leave without a deal. Preparing to
say that it was because the Irish border was being used politically to
frustrate Brexit. So therefore crashing out of Europe was the fault of the
Irish, the EU, the Backstop, or Parliament.
This tactic has been stopped in its tracks by the Taoiseach
Leo Vradkar going the extra mile to find a pathway to a deal. Then the leaders
of the 27 countries being prepared to revise the Withdrawal agreement. With the
result that if Westminster votes this new deal down and the UK leaves without a
deal. The blame will lie firmly in London. There will be no bogey man for
Brexiteers to blame.
A situation that those members of the British electorate that
Mr Farage encouraged to believe that it is all about regaining the British
Empire will have to get used to.
When the promised investment in policing doesn’t happen, but
to funding having to go elsewhere.
When the NHS is diminished to virtually nothing, so that Mr Farage’s’
backer can sell more health insurance.
When the new hospitals promised by Boris turn out to be private,
not NHS.
As more companies move from Britain to Ireland to avoid
tariffs, new taxes and the increase in cost of living post Brexit.
Which will result in higher unemployment and a sicker society
as fewer people can afford health care.
The question will be who are they going to blame?
Now those Brexiteers who want to leave on 31st
October come what may will this this is Project Fear. Yet should Boris’ new deal with its border in
the Irish Sea lead to a border poll in Northern Ireland and subsequently a
united Ireland. Who will those wanting to regain the empire blame for the break
up of the United Kingdom?
Westminster and in particular the Brexiteers have largely
ignored the opinions of Scotland and Wales, because they voted overwhelmingly
to Remain. Indeed the same could be said for the opinions of people in Northern
Ireland. There is no faster way to make people feel disenfranchised than to
ignore their opinion. To stand any hope of maintaining the integrity of UK.
Westminster needed to bring the people of the devolved nations along with them.
This could have happened if Theresa may, The ERG and now Boris Johnstone had at
least worked with the House of Commons on their negotiating position before
invoking article 50. Had they done so the UK would have done a deal with the EU
that was acceptable to the UK parliament, and so would currently be in the transition
phase of leaving the European Union.
Instead like John Bull in a china shop, they rushed head long
into negotiations without taking the people with them.
The Brexiteers are keen to blame parliament for frustrating
Brexit, saying it is Parliament versus the people. When in actual fact whilst
they claim to be trying to do what 17.4 million people want. They have not told
the 17.4 million what is going to happen, not have they listened to the
concerns of the 12 million who did not vote, or tried to persuade the 16.8 million
Remainers of their case. Instead one leading Brexiteer has said Britain will be
fine in 50 years. This laissez faire, attitude means that were there to be a
second referendum; polls indicate the result would be very different.
In Ireland we are used to having referenda, indeed there have
been quite a few since I moved here. None of which a non-Irish citizen can vote
in. The results of these referenda have been clear on the whole and worked
through efficiently. The issues whilst fundamental to the Irish Constitution ,
were not as complex or as divisive as Brexit. It should be said that Ireland as
on occasion had 2nd referendums on a subject. These have been
referred to as “are you sure” referendums.
Referendums are there to give politicians a guide as to what
the electorate think. The Irish Times has said that referendums emasculates
politics.
Yet the efficiency with which the results of the Irish
referendums have been delivered on is due to the proportional referendum
electoral system meaning that the Doil has a wider spectrum of opinions in it
than Westminster.
Politicians in every nation can be accused on lining their
own pockets and Ireland is no different. People in Ireland don’t necessarily
trust them anymore than in Scotland or England. Brexit has however shone a
light on the worst excesses of these characteristics in some British
politicians. Many of whom will no doubt leave the stage once Brexit is done,
before the actual hard work begins and before they can be blamed for the mess
Brexit has caused.
A podcast version of this is available at https://peterwade.podbean.com/mf/play/v2ubdx/Who_are_they_going_to_blame.m4a
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